Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Trump Threatens Shutdown as Negotiators Close in on Budget Deal
By THOMAS KAPLAN
New York Times
FEB. 6, 2018

WASHINGTON — President Trump called for shutting down the federal government if Congress does not crack down on illegal immigration, even as congressional negotiators closed in on a major budget deal that would set spending levels for two years and break the cycle of fiscal crises that has bedeviled the nation’s capital.

On Tuesday night, the House approved a stopgap spending bill that would boost military spending through September while keeping funds flowing to the rest of the government for six weeks. But that vote could be a prelude to a larger breakthrough. The House measure is unlikely to pass the Senate, where Democrats insist that an increase in military spending be matched with a boost in domestic funds.

But the House vote was a first step in what congressional leaders hoped would be a legislative dance that yields a bipartisan spending deal. Mr. Trump’s comments, though combative, had little to do with the delicate negotiations, a fact that appeared to elude Mr. Trump. They did, however, add a note of uncertainty.

“I’d love to see a shut down if we can’t get this stuff taken care of,” Mr. Trump said at a meeting with lawmakers and law-enforcement officials to discuss gang-related violence. “If we have to shut it down because the Democrats don’t want safety,” he added, “then shut it down.”

The two-year deal that congressional leaders want would raise statutory spending caps imposed in 2011 on military and nonmilitary spending through September of 2019. That agreement would add tens of billions of dollars to the budget deficit, but it would also ease the way to passing a temporary spending measure before the government shuts down on Friday. A longer-term budget deal shortly thereafter.

“We are closer to an agreement than we have ever been,” Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, the Democratic leader, said, referring to the negotiations over raising the spending caps.

Republicans were similarly upbeat. “I’m optimistic that very soon we’ll be able to reach an agreement,” said Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the majority leader.

But if the bipartisan deal were to fall through, lawmakers had no clear plan to keep the government open past Thursday, with both parties on a collision course over spending priorities and the president lobbing verbal bombs from the White House.

“I would shut it down over this issue,” Mr. Trump said as he demanded an immigration deal on his terms. “If we don’t straighten out our border, we don’t have a country.”

Mr. Trump’s call for a shutdown on Tuesday was not the first time he had brandished the threat of closing down the government. He mused on Twitter last year that the country “needs a good ‘shutdown,’” a suggestion that Democrats did not forget.

And on Tuesday, in a striking moment, a lawmaker from the president’s own party, Representative Barbara Comstock of Virginia, pushed back at the White House meeting after Mr. Trump called for a shutdown.

“We don’t need a government shutdown on this,” said Ms. Comstock, a top Democratic target in the midterm elections who represents a moderate district in Northern Virginia, an area that is home to many federal workers.

Soon after, Mr. Trump interrupted her. “You can say what you want,” he said. “We’re not getting support from the Democrats.”

It has been nearly three weeks since the last shutdown — a three-day closure that ended after Democrats won a promise from Mr. McConnell to have the Senate consider legislation to protect young immigrants who were brought to the United States illegally as children.

Mr. McConnell pledged that the Senate would turn to immigration if no deal had been reached on that subject by Thursday, when the current government funding measure is set to expire. This time, Senate Democrats have shown no appetite to force a shut down.

But the fate of the young immigrants, known as Dreamers, remains highly uncertain, especially given Mr. Trump’s insistence that Democrats get on board with his desire to build a border wall and enact other tough immigration policies.

The White House chief of staff, John F. Kelly, also took a hard line on immigration during a visit to the Capitol on Tuesday.

He said Mr. Trump is unlikely to extend a March 5 deadline, when the Obama-era program to protect Dreamers — Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA — is set to expire. And he said the president has been generous in his offer to give 1.8 million young undocumented immigrants a path to citizenship in exchange for a series of hard-line immigration policy changes.

“There are 690,000 official DACA registrants, and the president sent over what amounts to be two and a half times that number, to 1.8 million,” Mr. Kelly told reporters. “The difference between 690 and 1.8 million were the people that some would say were too afraid to sign up, others would say were too lazy to get off their asses, but they didn’t sign up.”

Both Republicans and Democrats seemed to have no idea how the immigration debate would play out in the Senate in the days to come. Mr. McConnell has promised a free and open debate, with senators allowed to offer amendments to whatever measure is brought to the floor. But no one seemed to have any idea what the starting bill would look like.

“That’s the $64,000 question,” said Senator John Cornyn of Texas, the No. 2 Republican in the Senate. “Everybody wants to know and Senator McConnell hasn’t told us.”

At most, Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, said, Congress could extend DACA in exchange for some improvements to border security.

“That’s the path of least resistance,” Mr. Graham said. “And that will be a punt. That will not be winning for the country but that’s most likely where we’re going to go.”

Mr. McConnell gave little hint of how the debate would proceed.

“In the Senate, on those rare occasions when we have these kind of open debates, whoever gets to 60 wins,” he told reporters. “And it’ll be an opportunity for 1,000 flowers to bloom.”

With less than 72 hours remaining to avert a shutdown, Republicans were moving on an entirely different track from the president.

The House moved ahead with a stopgap spending bill that includes a full year of funding for the military, daring Democrats to oppose it. Immigration was not part of the equation.

The House voted 245 to 182 to approve the bill, with most Democrats voting against it.

House Republicans were hoping to pressure Senate Democrats — especially the 10 up for re-election in states that Mr. Trump won — to go along or face harsh political consequences. The bill would keep the government open through March 23.

“Quite literally the safety of our service members and the security of our country is at stake,” Speaker Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin said.

But 44 members of the Senate Democratic caucus signed a letter in December opposing the House Republican approach. Passing the bill in the Senate will require 60 votes, meaning that those 44 Democrats, if they stick together, would be able to block it.

“This is not a serious bill,” said Representative Nita M. Lowey of New York, the top Democrat on the House Appropriations Committee. “It is nothing more than a political ploy that will place us on the brink of another shutdown.”

If a deal on the spending caps is reached, lawmakers could approve legislation that includes that agreement along with a temporary measure to keep the government open. The package could also end up carrying other items as well, including disaster aid in response to last year’s hurricanes and perhaps an increase to the statutory limit on the government’s borrowing authority.

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