Friday, June 19, 2015

Tsipras Optimistic on Greek Debt Deal as Banks Bleed
Jun 19, 2015
George Georgiopoulos and Lefteris Papadimas

Greeks pull more than €1bn out of banks in single day, sources say, as country edges closer to default despite assurances from prime minister that doomsayers are wrong

ATHENS — Greeks pulled more than €1bn out of their banks in a single day, banking sources said on Friday, as the country edged closer to default despite assurances from Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras that the doomsayers are wrong.

The Greek central bank — which has warned that the country’s future in the euro and even the European Union is at risk unless the government strikes a deal with its creditors — tried to calm savers by saying that the banking system remained stable.

Germany, the biggest European contributor to the bail-out programmes that have kept Greece afloat for the past five years, insisted it still wasn’t too late for Athens to come to terms with its creditors at the European Union (EU) and International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Greece is on course to default on a €1.6bn debt repayment it must make to the IMF in less than two weeks unless the creditors resume funding that was halted last August.

With the leftist-led government refusing to accept the creditors’ demands for more reform and budget cuts, some anxious Greeks have been emptying their bank accounts, fearing that curbs on withdrawals will be imposed under a capital controls regime, as Cyprus did during a crisis in 2013.

Policymakers at the European Central Bank (ECB), which is keeping the Greek financial system on life support by providing emergency funds, agreed on Friday to raise the amount of cash it provides, a banking source said.

Including the billion withdrawn on Thursday, savers have pulled €3bn from Greek banks since talks between Athens and its creditors collapsed at the weekend, the banking sources told Reuters. That represents about 2.2% of household and corporate deposits at the end of April.

The figures were provided on condition of anonymity as the statistics were not yet officially published.

Mr Tsipras played down the gravity of the situation.

"All those who are betting on crisis and terror scenarios will be proven wrong," he said in a statement.

"There will be a solution based on respecting EU rules and democracy which would allow Greece to return to growth in the euro."

Greek central bank chief Yannis Stournaras also tried to shore up confidence.

"The governor of the Bank of Greece confirms the stability of the banking system, which is fully secured by the joint actions of the Bank of Greece and the European Central Bank," the bank said in a statement.

Earlier this week, Mr Stournaras drew fire from government supporters when the bank said in a report that failure to reach an agreement would "mark the beginning of a painful course that would lead initially to a Greek default and ultimately to the country’s exit from the euro area and, most likely, from the EU".

All is not yet lost

After eurozone finance ministers failed to settle the dispute on Thursday, government leaders of the currency bloc will try to break the stalemate at an emergency summit on Monday.

Germany insisted all was not yet lost. "It’s not too late for this and of course we hope that such an agreement is possible," government spokesman Steffen Seibert said in Berlin.

If Greece defaults at the end of this month, it will be the first eurozone member to do so. Mr Tsipras’s government has refused the creditors’ demands that it raise taxes and cut spending, particularly on pensions, saying this would deepen one of the worst economic depressions of modern times.

Greek share prices rose after Mr Tsipras’s office issued the statement, in which he described the emergency summit as "a positive development on the road toward a deal".

Two officials with knowledge of the finance ministers’ meeting in Luxembourg on Thursday said ECB executive board member Benoit Coeure had said he was unsure whether Greek banks would open next week.

European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker said he feared the Greeks appeared to believe that "there is someone in Europe who can pull a rabbit out of the hat at the end. But this is not the case".

"I don’t understand Mr Tsipras," Mr Juncker told Germany’s Der Spiegel magazine.

IMF chief Christine Lagarde also raised the stakes on Thursday by telling Greece there would be no grace period for debt due on June 30.

Mr Tsipras was due to meet President Vladimir Putin on the second day of a visit to Russia on Friday — a trip that has raised eyebrows given the EU is at loggerheads with Moscow over the violence in eastern Ukraine. Russia’s deputy prime minister said Moscow could consider giving financial aid to Greece, although Russia has previously played down such prospects.

Until the last minute

So far, there have been no signs of panic on the streets of Athens or queues forming outside bank branches. But if deposit flight continues faster than the extra emergency liquidity assistance that the ECB grants Greek lenders, it could force Athens to impose capital controls.

"There are no lines or panic, it has been a quiet and gradual phase of withdrawals," said one of the bankers who disclosed the figures for withdrawals.

"They are due to worries whether a deal will be clinched with the country’s lenders."

A government spokesman has previously denied plans for imposing capital controls.

While fears of general disruption and chaos have grown in recent days, Greece’s biggest oil refiner, Hellenic Petroleum, told Reuters it has in place a contingency plan to ensure Greece has enough fuel supplies for several months in case of a national emergency.

Although fed up with years of austerity, the majority of Greeks want to stay in the eurozone. Thousands took to the streets on Thursday night calling for a deal.

"The silent majority has spoken: we are staying in Europe," the conservative Greek daily Eleftheros Typos said, commenting on the rally.

Reuters

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