Thursday, April 21, 2011

Opposition to US War Against Libya Grows, Says Recent Poll

Obama and Libya War: Criticism Grows in Poll

Nearly 50 Percent of Americans Disapprove of How President Obama is Handling War in Libya

Analysis by GARY LANGER
April 20, 2011

Disapproval of Barack Obama's handling of the situation in Libya has grown sharply in the past month, with the president facing criticism from Americans who oppose U.S. military involvement – but also from some of those who say the mission's aim is too limited.

Fifty-six percent support the U.S. military involvement overall, but many fewer, 42 percent, approve of Obama's handling of the situation. While his approval has held nearly steady, disapproval has grown by 15 points in the past month, with fewer undecided.

The disconnect relates to the mission; the poll, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, finds that among Americans who support U.S. military participation, most say it should be aimed at ousting Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi, not just protecting civilians.

In effect, the poll divides Americans into three groups:

Forty percent of Americans oppose U.S. military participation; in this group, just 27 percent approve of Obama's handling of the situation, while 65 percent disapprove.

An additional 32 percent support U.S. involvement, but say the aim should be to remove Gadhafi from power, not only to protect civilians. Obama gets a higher approval rating for handling Libya in this group, but hardly a robust one – 49 percent.

The third and smallest group, 22 percent, supports the current policy – military involvement limited to protecting civilians. In this group Obama's approval rating for handling the situation grows to 61 percent.

A change in leadership in Libya may not be out of the question; in an interview published today in the British newspaper the Guardian, Libya's foreign minister said an interim government and subsequent elections were possibilities, with Gadhafi's future "on the table," if NATO-led forces first cease fire.

INVOLVEMENT – Support for allied air strikes on Libya – whatever their aim – does not translate into support for an increased U.S. role in those strikes. Even among people who favor ousting Gadhafi as a goal, a relatively small group, 24 percent, says the level of U.S. military involvement in Libya should be increased.

Support for an increased U.S. role is lower still, 9 percent, among those who favor the current mission, protecting civilians. In both groups, sizable majorities say U.S. involvement should be kept about the same as it is now.

GROUPS – Views of Obama's handling of Libya break down along partisan and ideological lines; however, views on U.S. involvement in the military action cross those lines. It's backed by 62 percent of Republicans, 56 percent of Democrats and 52 percent of independents; and support ranges from 54 to 59 percent of conservatives, moderates and liberals.

As often is the case with military action, support is 11 points lower among women than men.

Among people who support the military action overall, support specifically for removing Gadhafi is 15 points higher among Republicans than among Democrats, though it reaches majorities in both groups, 68 and 53 percent, respectively. It's also higher among conservatives, 67 percent, than among moderates or liberals, 51 percent.

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone April 14-17, 2011, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

Analysis by Gregory Holyk and Gary Langer.

ABC News polls can be found at ABCNEWS.com at http://abcnews.com/pollingunit

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