Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) unmaned drones have killed untoll numbers of civilians in Pakistan. The United States imperialists have stepped-up their agressive assaults on the people of central and south Asia in the quest to conquer Afghanistan.
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U.S. Uses Attacks to Nudge Taliban Toward a Deal
By DEXTER FILKINS
New York Times
KABUL, Afghanistan — Airstrikes on Taliban insurgents have risen
sharply here over the past four months, the latest piece in what
appears to be a coordinated effort by American commanders to bleed the insurgency and pressure its leaders to negotiate an end to the war.
American pilots pounded the Taliban with 2,100 bombs or missiles from
June through September, with 700 in September alone, Air Force
officers here said Thursday. That is an increase of nearly 50 percent
over the same period last year, the records show.
The stepped-up air campaign is part of what appears to be an
intensifying American effort, orchestrated by Gen. David H. Petraeus,
to break the military stalemate here as pressure intensifies at home
to bring the nine-year-old war to an end. In recent weeks, General
Petraeus has increased raids by Special Forces units and launched
large operations to clear territory of Taliban militants.
And it seems increasingly clear that he is partly using the attacks to
expand a parallel path to the end of the war: an American-led
diplomatic initiative, very much in its infancy but ultimately aimed
at persuading the Taliban — or large parts of the movement — to make peace with the Afghan government.
In recent weeks, American officials have spoken approvingly in public
of new contacts between Taliban leaders and the Afghan government. On Wednesday they acknowledged their active involvement by helping
Taliban leaders travel to Kabul to talk peace.
On the diplomatic front, Afghan leaders said Thursday that they were
seeing what they believed were the first positive signs from the
Taliban. In a news conference in Kabul, Burhanuddin Rabbani, the
leader of a council charged with making peace, said that discussions
with Taliban leaders — carried out through third parties — were under
way.
“The Taliban have not rejected peace completely,” said Mr. Rabbani, a
former Afghan president. They want the talks “to take place,” he
added.
For all the efforts, American and Afghan officials were quick to play
down any suggestion that peace was at hand — or even remotely near. Most of the Taliban leaders, if not the movement’s foot soldiers, have given no sign that they are willing to make any sort of deal.
Even on the battlefield, there are few indications that the large
increase in firepower ordered by President Obama is having the
intended effect. With the American-led war moving through its
bloodiest phase since 2001, more American and NATO soldiers have been killed this year than at any time since the war began. In the past two days alone, at least 14 members of the Western forces here have been killed.
Indeed, senior American officials, gathering Thursday at a NATO
conference in Brussels, indicated that they were trying to energize a
peace process about whose contours and duration they could only guess.
“We just — you know, we need to be open to opportunities that arise,”
Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates said in Brussels.
President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan and his advisers have been
trying for months to engage the Taliban’s leaders about the
possibilities of ending the war. In part, Mr. Karzai and his team are
motivated by concerns about Mr. Obama’s plan to begin reducing the
number of American forces here by next July.
So far, those diplomatic efforts have come to naught. Pakistani
officials helped scuttle one incipient dialogue that was unfolding
earlier this year.
For their part, the Taliban’s leaders have mostly dismissed the
possibility of making a deal with Mr. Karzai’s government, declaring —
not without reason — that time is on their side.
American officers said the intensified airstrikes were possible
because of better intelligence, which enables pilots to be more
precise in their attacks. Much of that intelligence, the officers
said, is being supplied by remotely piloted aircraft like the Predator
drones, which have flooded the skies in recent months.
According to the Air Force’s statistics, remotely piloted vehicles
have flown more than 21,000 sorties so far this year, already
surpassing the roughly 19,000 drone flights for all of last year. The
targets for many of the airstrikes have been insurgents who were
building or planting homemade bombs, which are the most prolific
killers of American and NATO troops.
“We have been able to find a lot of places where they are putting
these things together,” said Col. Jim Sturgeon, chief of air
operations for NATO.
So far, the greater number of airstrikes does not appear to have
resulted in more civilian casualties, at least not according to NATO
statistics. In 2008, between January and September, 169 Afghans were inadvertently killed or wounded in NATO airstrikes. Over the same period in 2010, the number of Afghans killed or wounded was 88, the statistics show.
Insurgents cause the overwhelming majority of civilian deaths here,
but errant strikes by NATO jets and helicopters have been a source of
great tension with the Karzai government.
The statistics on American airstrikes were first published in Wired magazine.
The more intensive air campaign comes as American and NATO forces have stepped up the fight in other areas as well. The operation to pacify Kandahar, the epicenter of the insurgency, is well under way.
Members of Special Operations units have been unleashed with
particular ferocity. In a three-month period ending Oct. 7, the units
killed 300 midlevel Taliban commanders and 800 foot soldiers, and
captured 2,000 insurgents.
“You’ve got to put pressure on the networks to get them to start
thinking about alternatives to fighting,” said a senior NATO officer
in Kabul. “We are not at the tipping point yet.”
General Petraeus appears to be following a template that helped him
pull the Iraq war back from the cataclysmic levels of violence that
engulfed the country after the American invasion. Beginning in 2006,
American commanders simultaneously opened negotiations with insurgent leaders while killing or capturing those not inclined to make a deal.
Afghanistan is a different country, and it is not clear that the
tactics that brought success in Iraq will work here. In particular,
the Afghan insurgency is nowhere near to being as cohesive as the
insurgency in Iraq, where guerrilla leaders could order their men to
stop fighting with a reasonable expectation that they would obey.
Some Afghan experts believe that NATO’s two-track strategy is flawed — that bleeding the Taliban may actually make the insurgents les inclined to negotiate. Matt Waldman, an independent analyst who has worked extensively in the region, said that it was unlikely that many Taliban leaders could order their men to stop fighting.
“It’s dangerous to assume that you can bring off a senior commander
and all his men will follow,” Mr. Waldman said.
It was more likely, he said, that the midlevel commanders now being
killed by NATO would be replaced by others ever more committed to
fighting. After all, one of the principles of the Afghan campaign,
enunciated by General Petraeus himself and Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal before him, was that NATO would never be able to kill and capture its way to victory.
“The idea that killing insurgents will take us to negotiations seems
pretty doubtful,” Mr. Waldman said. “They have an infinite capacity to
regenerate.”
Carlotta Gall contributed reporting from Kabul, Thom Shanker from
Brussels and Eric Schmitt from Washington.
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